Atlanta Falcons against the spread

The Falcons have covered the spread 83 times and missed 109 times since 2015, with 2 pushes (43.2%), inside the range a coin flip produces over that many games.

Informational only. These are past results against public closing lines; they are not betting advice, and no wagering is offered or arranged here.

ATS since 2015: 83–109–2; 43.2% covered
This season ATS: 3–5–0; 37.5% covered
Over/under since 2015: 87–106–1; 45.1% overs
Straight up since 2015: 90–104–0; wins–losses–ties
Power rank: 19 of 32; Elo 1464

This week

Week 9: Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons · Sun, Nov 8 · 9:30 AM ET

Spread Dial · CIN −3

Slight lean: Bengals

Edge −1.5 pts at the fitted weights

Totals Dial · O/U 52.5

Slight lean: under

Edge −1.9 pts at the fitted weights

Open either dial to see how each lean was built, or re-weight the factors yourself.

2026 game by game

Week	Opponent	Score	Line	Spread	Total
1	at Steelers	L 13–20	+6.5	Missed by 0.5	Under 40.5
2	vs Panthers	L 3–34	+2.5	Missed by 28.5	Under 43.5
3	at Packers	W 35–14	+4.5	Covered by 25.5	Over 43.5
4	at Saints	W 45–24	+1.5	Covered by 22.5	Over 47.5
5	vs Ravens	L 23–30	−3.5	Missed by 10.5	Over 44.5
6	vs Bears	L 23–31	+1.5	Missed by 6.5	Over 51.5
7	vs 49ers	W 29–20	+2.5	Covered by 11.5	Under 49.5
8	at Buccaneers	L 0–16	+2.5	Missed by 13.5	Under 42.5

Splits since 2015

Situation	ATS (W–L–P)	Cover %
At home	38–58–1	39.6%
On the road	45–51–1	46.9%
As the favorite	35–61–1	36.5%
As the underdog	48–48–1	50.0%
Off a bye	8–5–0	61.5%
Playoffs	3–2–0	60.0%

Small splits swing hard: a situation with 20 games can land at 35% or 65% on luck alone.

Season by season

Season	Straight up	ATS	Cover %	O/U	Avg margin	Avg vs line
2026	3–5–0	3–5–0	37.5%	4–4–0	−2.3	0.0
2025	8–9–0	9–8–0	52.9%	8–9–0	−2.8	−2.0
2024	8–9–0	6–11–0	35.3%	7–10–0	−2.0	−3.7
2023	7–10–0	5–12–0	29.4%	7–10–0	−3.1	−3.6
2022	7–10–0	8–8–1	50.0%	7–10–0	−1.2	+0.8
2021	7–10–0	6–10–1	37.5%	7–10–0	−8.6	−5.0
2020	4–12–0	7–9–0	43.8%	7–9–0	−1.1	+1.2
2019	7–9–0	8–8–0	50.0%	7–9–0	−1.1	+1.1
2018	7–9–0	5–11–0	31.3%	9–7–0	−0.6	−2.0
2017	11–7–0	8–10–0	44.4%	5–13–0	+2.6	−0.9
2016	13–6–0	12–7–0	63.2%	17–2–0	+8.8	+6.7
2015	8–8–0	6–10–0	37.5%	2–13–1	−0.4	−1.9

Avg vs line: how many points per game the team finished above (+) or below (−) the closing spread.

What this record means

Every game since 2015 with a posted closing line in nflverse's schedule file counts: the team covers when its final margin beats the line, misses when it falls short, and pushes when it lands on it. Across all 32 teams, records like this one vary about as much as they would if every game were a coin flip, and a team's cover rate one season has had essentially no relationship with the next. So this page describes what happened; it does not predict what comes next. The full method and the chance numbers are on the ATS Records page.

Source: nflverse schedules and results (games.csv), CC-BY 4.0.

Last reviewed: September 2026. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or the Atlanta Falcons.

Related tools

NFL Spread Dial

Every game this week, scored against the point spread from seven public factors, with an out-of-sample record since 2016. Turn the dials to weight them your way and watch the back-test update.

Open tool →NFL Totals Dial

Every game this week, scored against the over/under from five public factors: pace, roof, combined strength, division game. Turn the dials and watch the back-test update.

Open tool →NFL Weekly Record

The Spread Dial's and Totals Dial's lean on every game, graded each week against the closing spread and total once the games are played — every game counted, each week on a fit of earlier games only.

Open tool →