Cleveland Browns against the spread

The Browns have covered the spread 78 times and missed 111 times since 2015, with 3 pushes (41.3%), outside the range a coin flip usually produces over that many games — though with 32 teams, one or two landing out here is expected by chance alone.

Informational only. These are past results against public closing lines; they are not betting advice, and no wagering is offered or arranged here.

ATS since 2015: 78–111–3; 41.3% covered
This season ATS: 5–3–0; 62.5% covered
Over/under since 2015: 93–96–3; 49.2% overs
Straight up since 2015: 68–123–1; wins–losses–ties
Power rank: 21 of 32; Elo 1450

This week

Week 9: Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints · Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET

Spread Dial · NO −3

Lean: Saints

Edge +3.1 pts at the fitted weights

Totals Dial · O/U 42.5

Slight lean: over

Edge +1.4 pts at the fitted weights

Open either dial to see how each lean was built, or re-weight the factors yourself.

2026 game by game

Week	Opponent	Score	Line	Spread	Total
1	at Jaguars	L 10–34	+8.5	Missed by 15.5	Over 40.5
2	at Buccaneers	W 23–19	+8.5	Covered by 12.5	Over 41.5
3	vs Panthers	W 21–18	+2.5	Covered by 5.5	Under 41.5
4	vs Steelers	W 27–24	+2.5	Covered by 5.5	Over 38.5
5	at Jets	L 12–17	+2.5	Missed by 2.5	Under 38.5
6	vs Ravens	W 13–10	+3.0	Covered by 6	Under 39.5
7	at Titans	W 27–24	−1.5	Covered by 1.5	Over 36.5
8	at Steelers	L 6–27	+3.5	Missed by 17.5	Under 38.5

Splits since 2015

Situation	ATS (W–L–P)	Cover %
At home	42–50–2	45.7%
On the road	36–61–1	37.1%
As the favorite	26–37–2	41.3%
As the underdog	52–74–1	41.3%
Off a bye	2–9–0	18.2%
Playoffs	2–1–0	66.7%

Small splits swing hard: a situation with 20 games can land at 35% or 65% on luck alone.

Season by season

Season	Straight up	ATS	Cover %	O/U	Avg margin	Avg vs line
2026	5–3–0	5–3–0	62.5%	4–4–0	−4.3	−0.6
2025	5–12–0	8–9–0	47.1%	8–9–0	−5.9	−0.5
2024	3–14–0	4–13–0	23.5%	7–10–0	−10.4	−6.3
2023	11–7–0	9–7–2	56.3%	11–6–1	+0.2	−0.3
2022	7–10–0	8–9–0	47.1%	8–8–1	−1.2	−0.8
2021	8–9–0	7–10–0	41.2%	7–10–0	−1.3	−3.0
2020	12–6–0	8–10–0	44.4%	10–8–0	−0.3	−1.6
2019	6–10–0	5–10–1	33.3%	8–8–0	−3.6	−4.3
2018	7–8–1	10–6–0	62.5%	7–8–1	−2.1	+0.6
2017	0–16–0	4–12–0	25.0%	7–9–0	−11.0	−4.4
2016	1–15–0	4–12–0	25.0%	8–8–0	−11.8	−5.0
2015	3–13–0	6–10–0	37.5%	8–8–0	−9.6	−4.3

Avg vs line: how many points per game the team finished above (+) or below (−) the closing spread.

What this record means

Every game since 2015 with a posted closing line in nflverse's schedule file counts: the team covers when its final margin beats the line, misses when it falls short, and pushes when it lands on it. Across all 32 teams, records like this one vary about as much as they would if every game were a coin flip, and a team's cover rate one season has had essentially no relationship with the next. So this page describes what happened; it does not predict what comes next. The full method and the chance numbers are on the ATS Records page.

Source: nflverse schedules and results (games.csv), CC-BY 4.0.

Last reviewed: September 2026. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the NFL or the Cleveland Browns.

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